Population

Child Population

Key Messages
Simcoe County
District of Muskoka
Simcoe Muskoka
Population Projections

Key Messages

In 2021, children ages 0 to 14 years accounted for 16% of the population in Simcoe Muskoka for a total of 95,235 children. This is a 10% increase from the 86,720 children in 2016.
The largest populations of children in Simcoe Muskoka lived in Barrie (24,740), Bradford West Gwillimbury (9,185) and New Tecumseth (8,390).
From 2021 to 2046, there is projected to be a 33% increase in the number of children in Simcoe Muskoka aged 0 to 19 years.

Simcoe County

In Simcoe County there were a total of 87,055 children in 2021, which is a 10% increase from the 79,100 children in 2016.
The largest populations of children lived in the southern Census subdivisions of Barrie, Bradford West Gwillimbury, New Tecumseth, and Innisfil.

Highest Child Population Simcoe County

Lowest Child Population Simcoe County

District of Muskoka

In the District of Muskoka there were a total of 8,180 children in 2021, which is a 7% increase from the 7,620 children in 2016.
The largest populations of children live in Huntsville, Bracebridge, and Gravenhurst.

Child Population Muskoka

Simcoe Muskoka

Overall, the District of Muskoka had a lower proportion of their population in the 0 to 14 age range (12%) compared to Simcoe County (16%) in 2021.
The proportion of children was similarly distributed in 2016, as 13% of the total population in the District of Muskoka were in the 0-14 age range and 17% of the total population in Simcoe County were.
For both Simcoe and Muskoka, there was a lower percentage of the population in the younger age groups (e.g. 0 to 4 years) compared to the older age group (10 to 14 years), indicating Simcoe Muskoka has an aging population, and that the population increase from 2016 to 2021 is not a result of new births in the area, but rather relocation into the area over the past five years.

Child Population Age Groups

Population Projections

The chart below is a depiction of child population growth from 2021 through to 2046:

The population of children less than 1 year of age has the highest growth rate and will increase by 36% from 5,740 children in 2021 to 7,808 in 2046. However, all children age groups above 1 year of age will experience similar, but slightly smaller, population growth.
By 2046, the population of 0 to 9-year-olds in Simcoe Muskoka is expected to reach 81,964, which is a 34% increase. Meanwhile, the population of 10-19-year-olds is expected to reach 87,469, which is a 32% increase.
The proportion of children (aged 0-19) of the total population in Simcoe Muskoka is expected to decrease slightly from 21% in 2021 to 20% in 2046.

Technical Notes

Census subdivision (CSD) generally refers to municipalities (e.g. Clearview Township) as well as areas considered equivalent to municipalities for reporting census data, such as First Nations reserves (e.g. Chippewas of Rama First Nation).

Statistics Canada uses the names Moose Point 79 and Christian Island 30 and 30A to describe the geographic area of two local First Nation communities, however, we will refer to these communities by their commonly known names, Moose Deer Point and Beausoleil First Nation, respectively. These names are what most local Indigenous groups or individuals use and what we expect our readers will understand while accessing HealthSTATS.

Census data for Wahta Mohawk Territory is not available.